Slim's picks: Predicting the championship games

I don’t know whether to say championship weekend is finally here or championship weekend is already here. Either way, Montana’s five football champions will be crowned by the end of this weekend.

Class AA will get the action started first, with undefeated Kalispell Glacier hosting Great Falls CMR on Friday.

The rest of the games – Dillon at Butte Central, Townsend at Huntley Project, Chinook at Wibaux and Westby-Grenora at Geraldine-Highwood – will kick off Saturday afternoon.

The home teams appear to be slight favorites, but it wouldn’t be a surprise to see a couple road teams celebrating on their opponents’ fields.

I had a rough time picking the semifinal games (only going 6-4), but here’s who I’m taking in the championships:

November 20, 2014 9:00 pmLoading…
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Slim's picks: Predicting the semifinal football games

And then there were four.

It’s semifinal weekend in Montana’s football playoffs, and each game provides an intriguing storyline.

Can Kalispell Glacier continue its Class AA dominance? Will Helena beat Great Falls CMR for the second time?

Who will emerge from this year’s Dillon-Billings Central battle? Can anybody slow down Butte Central?

Can Conrad’s road warriors extend their playoff run? Does Class B’s only remaining unbeaten go on the road and win at Bigfork?

November 13, 2014 7:00 pm Related Loading…
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Slim's picks: Predicting the quarterfinal football games

With Class AA joining the party, all five of Montana’s football classifications are playing postseason football this week.

There are eight teams remaining in each class, with four quarterfinal matchups slated for each. Five games – all four AA matchups and Class A’s Dillon-Belgrade contest – are scheduled for Friday. The rest of the games will be played on Saturday.

The first round of the playoffs offered few fireworks (in fact, I wrote a column about just that), but these pairings promise more excitement. There are intriguing matchups across the board.

Here are this week’s picks:

Class AA

November 06, 2014 11:45 pm Video Related Loading…
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Kimmel column: 1st-round playoff games were snoozers

Excuse me while I hit the snooze button and grab a couple more ZZZs.

Last weekend’s slate of first-round high school football playoff games left a lot to be desired.

Of the 28 games, only seven were decided by single digits. Thirteen, almost half, were decided by more than 40 points. Forty!

There is no more egregious offender than Class C 6-Man, where the average margin of victory was nearly 45 points in the eight games. It’s true that the quarterfinal pairings promise more parity — how can they not? — but what exactly is the point of qualifying 16 teams for the 6-Man postseason?

Montana’s smallest classification expanded to 16 playoff teams in 2007 as more schools joined the class, including teams from Idaho and Wyoming. The current format, which qualifies four teams from each conference, came into place in 2010. Since then, exactly one fourth seed has won in the first round — Hysham beat Custer-Melstone that year.

November 05, 2014 8:00 pmLoading…
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Slim's picks: Predicting the Week 10 football games

As October winds to a close, the high school football playoffs are set to start on Friday.

Teams in the Class A, B, 8-Man and 6-Man ranks begin their marches to the championship this weekend, with most games kicking off Saturday afternoon. Class AA is still determining its final playoff teams, let alone seeds.

Kalispell Glacier, Helena, Great Falls CMR, Missoula Big Sky, Billings Senior, Billings Skyview and Bozeman are in. Billings West controls its postseason future, but the Bears could fall into a tie with Butte, Kalispell Flathead and/or Missoula Sentinel.

There are plenty of appetizing matchups on the schedule, so let’s get to picking.

Class AA

October 31, 2014 12:00 am Video Loading…
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Kimmel column: Things I think I think - playoff edition

Dillon, Missoula Loyola, Ennis and Geraldine-Highwood start their title defenses in earnest this week.

The Class A, B, 8-Man and 6-Man playoffs kick off Friday and Saturday, and all four defending champions are in the pool, as are all four runners-up.

The saying goes that every team is 0-0 as the season calendar flips to the postseason. On the surface, that’s true. But the previous two-plus months aren’t for naught. The bulk of the season has been spent separating the contenders from the pretenders.

That being said, this fall appears to be as wide open as any in recent memory. Who are the favorites? Who are sleeper teams to watch? Who should be on upset alert? Read on …

Things I think I think

October 29, 2014 9:00 pmLoading…
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Slim's picks: Predicting the Week 9 football games

It’s the final week of the regular season in all classes except the AA.

Many playoff spots are already spoken for, but there’s still a lot we don’t know. The schedule works out, too, so that we have a lot of important head-to-head games this weekend.

In Class AA, two weeks remain, and there’s still a lot to be determined there. The class kicks off with a couple big Thursday night games, so we’re rolling out the picks early this week:

* indicates a “game of the week”

Class AA

October 22, 2014 11:00 pm Video Loading…
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Poll position: Little changes as regular season winds down

The regular season is winding to a close, and the Associated Press polls are reflecting that.

All 15 teams ranked first, second or third in the five classes held maintained their respective positions. Kalispell Glacier, Belgrade, Fairfield, Wibaux and Denton-Geyser-Stanford were the top-ranked teams for the third consecutive week.

The Class AA poll saw no changes -- Helena, Great Falls CMR, Billings Senior and Billings Skyview -- followed Glacier in the top five.

Dillon moved up one spot to fourth in the Class A poll. Miles City moved in to No. 5, and Laurel, following its loss to Billings Central dropped out.

The same 10 teams are ranked in Class B as last week, too, though the order changed. Baker and Bigfork were the biggest beneficiaries of Conrad's loss to Fairfield.

October 22, 2014 9:00 pmLoading…
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Slim's picks: Predicting the Week 8 football games

The countdown to the postseason is on.

Only two weeks remain in the regular season for all non-Class AA teams. AA still has three weeks to go.

As playoff positioning comes to the forefront, there is still a lot left to be determined. While some conferences – like the Eastern C – are set, others – like the Eastern A – have yet to see a team clinch a playoff berth, let alone a specific seed.

There are some big games this week that will clarify the postseason picture, so let’s get to the picks:

* indicates a “game of the week”

October 17, 2014 12:00 am Video Loading…
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Poll position: Belgrade tops Class A poll; Townsend gets 1st-place vote

It took most of the season, but Class A finally went two consecutive weeks with the same team atop the Associated Press poll. Belgrade earned six first-place votes to secure the No. 1 ranking again.

Butte Central received four first-place votes, and Billings Central received one.

Kalispell Glacier, Fairfield, Wibaux and Denton-Geyser-Stanford maintained their season-long holds on their respective top rankings.

In fact, both Class C polls saw the exact same top five from last week.

You can find the polls in their entirety below, with first-place votes in parentheses, records, rating points and previous rankings at right. How I voted and a brief reaction follows each poll.

October 15, 2014 3:45 pmLoading…
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Forsyth, Whitehall losses shake up Southern B

After following the status quo much of the season, the Southern B finally had a somewhat unpredictable Friday night.

It started with Forsyth, the second-ranked team in the class, losing at Baker. The Dogies were coming off solid back-to-back wins over Colstrip and Forsyth. They had allowed only one touchdown all season before digging an 18-point hole against the Spartans.

Forsyth’s attempt at a fourth-quarter rally came up short, as Baker went on to get the 18-13 win.

Luke Gonsioroski rushed for 163 yards and two touchdowns for the Spartans. He also intercepted three passes on defense.

Baker improved to 4-2, and more importantly positioned itself to secure one of District 3B’s two playoff spots. The Spartans, Dogies and Shepherd are all 2-1 in the conference, behind undefeated Huntley Project. The Red Devils beat Baker 35-14 earlier in the season, but have yet to play Forsyth or Shepherd.

October 11, 2014 8:11 pmLoading…
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Slim's picks: Predicting the Week 7 football games

With fewer and fewer games remaining, the importance of each is magnified. A loss could doom a team’s postseason chances, or a win could propel a team into playoff contention.

Each week now basically presents a must-win scenario for teams hoping to reach the postseason, especially those that suffered earlier losses.

Other teams have already put themselves in good position to, at a minimum, qualify for the playoffs. But for teams like Helena and Great Falls CMR, simply reaching the playoffs isn’t enough.

It’s about putting yourself in the best position to find success in the playoffs, which adds to the intrigue of this week’s biggest game.

*indicates a “game of the week”

October 09, 2014 11:00 pm Video Loading…
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Poll position: Belgrade is Class A's new No. 1; little changes elsewhere

This week's Associated Press high school football polls came out earlier Wednesday, and -- again -- Kalispell Glacier, Fairfield, Wibaux and Denton-Geyser-Stanford topped their respective classes.

And again, Class A has a new team atop the poll. Belgrade became the fourth different team to reach No. 1 in the class in four weeks.

In AA, Glacier and Helena have been ranked Nos. 1 and 2 all season. Great Falls CMR and Billings Skyview have been slotted third and fourth for three straight weeks.

Fairfield has topped the Class B poll since the polls debuted, but Glasgow fell from No. 2 for the first time. Forsyth leap-frogged the Scotties.

In Class C, Wibaux and Ennis are 8-Man's top two teams for the fourth consecutive week. The 6-Man poll has had DGS, Savage, Hot Springs and Geraldine-Highwood in the top four slots all year.

October 08, 2014 8:00 pmLoading…
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While 8-Man playoff picture takes shape, Northern C up for grabs

Beginning with the 2012 season, the Northern C aligned its 10 (at the time) football teams in one division rather than the split-conference format it previously used.

The idea was to prevent imbalance within the conference, increasing parity and providing equal opportunity for teams to clinch one of the four state playoff berths.

Mission accomplished.

Since the league altered its format, there hasn’t been a more competitive conference in Montana 8-Man football. This season is certainly following suit.

The North is the only 8-Man conference that doesn’t have at least one undefeated team remaining. In fact, six of the North’s eight teams have one or two losses, and all six of those could conceivably have two losses after this weekend’s slate of games. Chinook (4-1) plays at Belt (4-2) and Great Falls Central (4-1) hosts Simms (3-2).

October 08, 2014 7:15 pmLoading…
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Slim's picks: Predicting the Week 6 football games

Heading into October, the end of the regular season is beginning to come into focus. The playoffs for every class except AA begin Nov. 1.

As teams jockey for postseason position, there are some heavyweight games featuring ranked opponents this week, including big-time matchups in each class.

Hear are my picks for this weekend’s slate of great games:

* indicates a “game of the week”

Class AA

October 03, 2014 12:00 am Video Loading…
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Parity abounds in Class B football

Year in, year out, Class B is typically the most competitive level of football in Montana.

This season is no different, as seven teams remain undefeated after five weeks. Another six only have one loss.

Of those 13 teams, though, only two — Deer Lodge and Bigfork — reside in western Montana. Teams from the Western division have won three of the past four state championships.

“I think things go in cycles,” Ronan coach Jim Benn said over the summer. “Class B football is definitely a cycle-driven endeavor.”

Prior to the West’s recent run, a team from the division hadn’t won a title since 1997 when Frenchtown, now Class A, beat Plentywood.

October 01, 2014 7:15 pmLoading…
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Poll position: Laurel climbs to No. 1

There's a new No. 1 atop the Class A poll again. Laurel received seven first-place votes to replace Columbia Falls, which fell completely out of the top five, at the top. The Wildcats lost to Whitefish last week.

Kalispell Glacier, Fairfield, Wibaux and Denton-Geyser-Stanford all remained as the top-ranked teams in their respective classes.

Besides Laurel, three other teams -- Dillon, Belgrade and Butte Central -- received first-place votes in Class A.

The Associated Press polls are listed in their entirety below, with first-place votes in parentheses, records, rating points and previous rankings at right. How I voted and a brief reaction to the polls follow.

Class AA

October 01, 2014 6:30 pmLoading…
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Slim's picks: Predicting the Week 5 football games

All five classifications will be into their conference football schedules after this weekend, with Class A and B teams beginning that portion of their schedules this week.

Class AA, 8-Man and 6-Man teams have basically been playing meaningful games from the get-go.

But for those leagues beginning their conference play this week, it’s a chance to start with a relatively clean slate. What you did in the first few weeks can be meaningless, depending on your conference performance.

Some conferences, like Districts 1B, 3B and 5B, will feature exciting matchups each week, while others, like the Central A, appear to have only one or two championship-caliber teams.

Here are this week’s picks, where hopefully I’ll be able to get off my slide predicting the AA games.

September 25, 2014 8:00 pm Video Loading…
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Poll position: Four No. 1s maintain top ranking; Columbia Falls replaces Dillon

It's the second week of the Associated Press football polls, and there was actually a decent voter turnout. After only eight media members voted last week, 12 offered their opinions this go-around.

Four teams -- Kalispell Glacier, Fairfield, Wibaux and Denton-Geyser-Stanford -- held on to their top rankings. Columbia Falls unanimously replaced Dillon as the No. 1-ranked team in Class A.

Five teams -- Bozeman, Billings Central, Conrad, Twin Bridges and Power-Dutton-Brady -- jumped into the top five or 10 (depending on classification) after not being ranked last week. Only the 6-Man poll saw the same teams ranked this week as last.

You can find the polls in their entirety below, with first-place votes in parentheses and records, rating points and previous rankings at right, as well as how I voted and some reaction.

Class AA

September 24, 2014 3:30 pmLoading…
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Slim's picks: Predicting the Week 4 football games

After last week’s awesome slate of games, we revert back to the norm this week.

Class AA doesn’t really have a marquee matchup. Neither does Class B or either Class C classification. Nope, it will be up to Class A to provide the fireworks again, as it did last week.

There were four one-point games in Class A last weekend, and there are some intriguing matchups on this weekend’s schedule. Columbia Falls plays Anaconda in a game featuring two unbeaten squads in western Montana on Friday.

Saturday gives fans two more appetizing games: Miles City at Belgrade and Dillon at Billings Central.

Here are this week’s picks:

September 18, 2014 10:36 pm Video Loading…
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Slim Kimmel

Online sports editor for The Billings Gazette.

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